US S&P Composite PMI Flash Reaches Eight-Month High in July
The US S&P Composite PMI Flash rose to 53.6 in July 2026, exceeding expectations and marking the strongest pace of private-sector business expansion in eight months. The latest survey from S&P Global showed stronger services activity, continued manufacturing expansion, and higher inflation pressures, offering an updated assessment of economic conditions for businesses and financial markets.
Key Takeaways
- The US S&P Composite PMI Flash increased to 53.6 in July, above forecasts and June’s reading.
- Stronger services activity drove overall private-sector growth.
- Manufacturing remained in expansion territory, although output growth slowed.
- Business confidence improved while employment returned to modest growth.
- Input costs and selling prices accelerated, indicating renewed inflation pressures.
The latest US S&P Composite PMI Flash showed that private-sector business activity strengthened in July as services firms reported faster growth and manufacturers maintained expansion despite moderating output. The preliminary survey reading of 53.6 exceeded market expectations of 52.2 and improved from June’s 51.9, signaling a faster pace of economic activity.
A Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 signals contraction. July’s increase represented the strongest composite reading since late 2025 and suggested improved business conditions across much of the U.S. economy.
The survey also indicated that the pace of activity was consistent with approximately 2% annualized gross domestic product growth during the third quarter, based on S&P Global’s assessment of the data. This outlook complements recent analysis of inflation data delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts as policymakers continue evaluating incoming economic indicators.
US S&P Composite PMI Flash Reaches 53.6 in July
The composite index combined results from both the manufacturing and services sectors to provide an early measure of overall private-sector activity.
July’s reading of 53.6 reflected stronger demand across service-oriented businesses while manufacturers continued to report expansion despite slower production growth. The result exceeded economists’ forecasts and represented a noticeable improvement from the previous month’s level.
The preliminary survey was conducted between July 9 and July 23, covering approximately 650 manufacturing companies and 500 service providers across the United States.
Business confidence also improved during the survey period, reaching its highest level in eight months as firms reported improved expectations for future activity.
The latest figures provide one of the earliest monthly indicators of business conditions before many official government economic reports become available.
Services Activity Drives Overall Business Expansion
Services Business Activity Index Records Stronger Growth
The services sector accounted for most of the improvement in the July composite reading.
The Services Business Activity Index increased to 53.6 from 51.2 in June, indicating stronger expansion across industries including professional services, finance, transportation, hospitality, healthcare, and other consumer-facing businesses.
Higher business activity within services offset slower momentum in manufacturing production and lifted the overall composite index to its highest level in eight months.
Service providers also reported stronger incoming business, supporting increased activity throughout July.
The survey showed that business expectations improved alongside higher activity levels, suggesting firms remained optimistic about near-term operating conditions.
Because services represent the largest share of the U.S. economy, stronger performance in this sector had a significant influence on the composite PMI reading. The latest business survey also adds context to ongoing discussions surrounding Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve task forces and proposals affecting central bank policy and operations.
Manufacturing Output Moderates While Employment Improves
Manufacturing Output Slows Despite Continued Expansion
Manufacturing continued to expand during July, although growth moderated compared with the previous month.
The Manufacturing PMI registered 53.8, remaining largely unchanged from June’s reading of 53.9.
Output growth slowed more noticeably. The Manufacturing Output Index declined to 53.6 from 56.2 in June, marking a four-month low while remaining above the expansion threshold.
The figures indicated that manufacturers continued increasing production, although the pace eased compared with earlier in the summer.
The survey did not indicate a contraction in factory activity, but it showed that manufacturing contributed less to overall business growth than the services sector during July.
Employment Returns to Growth
Employment conditions also improved modestly.
Businesses reported a slight increase in hiring, marking the first expansion in employment after three consecutive months without workforce growth.
Although the pace remained limited, the improvement suggested that firms responded to stronger business activity by adding staff where needed.
The employment component formed part of a broader improvement in business sentiment recorded during the survey period.
Inflation Pressures Strengthen Across the Private Sector
Input Costs Reach a 14-Month High
While business activity strengthened, companies also reported faster increases in operating costs.
Input cost inflation reached its highest level in 14 months, indicating that businesses faced higher expenses for materials, supplies, transportation, and other operating inputs.
The survey identified supply-chain pressures linked to geopolitical developments in the Middle East as one factor contributing to longer supplier delivery times.
Higher operating costs affected both manufacturers and service providers during July.
The increase in business expenses added another data point for assessing inflation conditions within the private sector. Fiscal conditions also remain part of the broader economic picture, including recent reporting on rising federal deficit interest costs that continue to influence long-term budget discussions.
Selling Price Inflation Accelerates
Companies also reported raising prices charged to customers at a faster pace.
Selling price inflation accelerated to its strongest level since August 2022, according to the survey.
The combination of stronger demand and higher operating costs contributed to increased pricing activity across surveyed businesses.
The data suggested that inflation pressures remained present even as overall economic activity strengthened during July.
Price measures within PMI surveys are closely monitored because they provide an early indication of inflation trends before broader consumer price reports become available.
Market Implications Following the Latest PMI Data
The July PMI figures presented a combination of stronger business activity and firmer inflation pressures.
The composite reading pointed to faster private-sector expansion, while higher input costs and selling prices indicated continued pricing pressure across the economy.
S&P Global stated that the survey results were consistent with approximately 2% annualized GDP growth during the third quarter.
The survey also noted that temporary factors may have influenced July activity, including spending associated with the FIFA World Cup and celebrations connected with the USA 250 bicentennial.
Final PMI results are scheduled for release in early August after additional survey responses are incorporated into the completed monthly reports.
The flash release serves as an early snapshot of business conditions and is widely followed by businesses, economists, policymakers, and financial market participants because it provides timely information on output, employment, demand, and inflation before many official economic indicators become available.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the US S&P Composite PMI Flash?
The US S&P Composite PMI Flash is a preliminary monthly indicator produced by S&P Global that measures business activity across the manufacturing and services sectors. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
Why did the US S&P Composite PMI Flash rise in July 2026?
The index increased primarily because services activity strengthened during July, while manufacturing remained in expansion territory despite slower output growth.
How did the services sector contribute to the latest PMI reading?
The Services Business Activity Index rose to 53.6 from 51.2 in June, providing the largest contribution to the stronger composite PMI result.
What does the July PMI report indicate about US economic growth?
According to S&P Global, the July survey is consistent with approximately 2% annualized GDP growth during the third quarter based on current business activity.
What inflation signals were reported in the latest PMI survey?
The survey reported that input cost inflation reached a 14-month high and selling price inflation accelerated to its strongest pace since August 2022, indicating higher cost pressures across the private sector.



