Bare Land Attracts Far Less Bidding Competition Than Existing Apartments

By: KeyCrew Media

Institutional and private buyers compete energetically for stabilized multifamily assets, keeping prices near fair market value. According to Dusten Hendrickson, Founder & President of Mailbox Money Real Estate & Private Equity, the market for developable bare land offers a different and appealing set of competitive conditions: fewer bidders, favorable relative pricing, and structural cost advantages that carry through the life of a deal.

Why Acquisition Prices Stay High

The strong volume of capital pursuing existing apartment buildings means acquisition investors often price close to market and rely on market timing. “There’s tons of competition for acquiring assets,” Hendrickson says. “You’re going to pay a lot closer to market rate.”

Most investors, institutional or individual, prefer income-producing assets they can underwrite immediately. Bare land is a longer-term play that involves entitlement work and development expertise, which naturally means fewer buyers compete for developable land than for stabilized properties.

“There’s a lot less people bidding on bare land than there are on existing apartments to buy,” Hendrickson says. That reduced competition allows developers to acquire land at prices that reflect actual development economics.

Development Complexity Filters Out Most Competitors

Bare land attracts fewer bidders because ground-up development rewards a specialized skill set. Entitlement work, construction management, lease-up execution, and the multi-year timeline before distributions begin all draw on specialized knowledge and operational infrastructure.

“The barrier to entry is way higher in development,” Hendrickson says. For experienced developers, this complexity functions as a competitive moat; the same expertise required to participate helps keep land prices grounded in development economics rather than bid up the way stabilized asset prices are.

Hendrickson also notes that the existing apartment inventory available for purchase reflects the assets owners choose to bring to market. “Most people do not sell their best assets,” he says. “Most people sell their worst assets, keep their best assets unless they’re in big trouble.” Development, by contrast, lets a builder create a brand-new, high-performing property in a location of their choosing.

Forced Appreciation vs. Market-Dependent Returns

Ground-up development relies on value created through construction and lease-up rather than market appreciation compared with buying existing assets. When a developer builds a new property, leases it up, and stabilizes it, the value created results directly from producing income-producing leases where none existed before, not solely from market appreciation.

“When you create leases, you’re creating more value than when you improve leases,” Hendrickson says. Development returns rely more on execution than on market timing. A developer who executes well creates value through construction and lease-up across a range of market conditions.

Hendrickson acknowledges that macro conditions still influence when a project should be sold and what it will be worth. Forced appreciation provides a durable return component. “Ours is less about timing,” he says. “When you acquire, it’s more about timing.”

How Mailbox Money Structures Projects

Hendrickson’s firm builds its strategy around the land acquisition advantage and forced appreciation. The firm closes on land only after entitlement is secured, the point at which, in Hendrickson’s view, the majority of project risk has already been resolved. Construction begins immediately at closing. In one recent project, crews were on site digging within two hours of the transaction completing.

The firm targets locations where population growth, employment, and amenity density support long-term rent demand. “We build in the best neighborhoods where the path of progress is, where all the amenities are, where all the restaurants are, where the new offices are, the big box stores,” Hendrickson says.

New construction also carries lower near-term maintenance costs than acquired properties. A 10-year-old apartment project is still relatively new by multifamily standards, and a ground-up project starts with zero deferred maintenance and modern design suited to current renter expectations.

Comparing Development and Acquisition Timelines

Ground-up development and acquisition differ most in when returns materialize. In a development project, the early years go toward entitlement, construction, and lease-up before a property stabilizes. Hendrickson notes that distributions typically begin around the two-year mark, whereas acquiring an existing, occupied building can generate rental income from the first month. The firm’s project portfolio documents developments built on this approach.

The distinction reflects where each approach draws its value. Acquisition leans on buying at the right moment in the market. Development, by contrast, builds value through the work itself, securing land at development-economics pricing, then constructing and leasing property where none existed before.

About Mailbox Money Real Estate: Mailbox Money Real Estate is a vertically integrated multifamily development firm led by Dusten Hendrickson, building workforce and attainable housing across the Midwest. The company has developed more than 1,300 units, focusing on market-rate, wellness-designed apartments in overlooked and underserved communities.

Disclaimer: This article is based on information provided by the expert source cited above. It is intended for general informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, financial, or real estate advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any real estate or financial decisions.